Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.599978 0.663193 0.733308 0.817434 0.916424 1.030208 1.172370
2024-12-15 0.507411 0.601624 0.717904 0.875415 1.088944 1.377630 1.815463
2024-12-22 0.425635 0.530450 0.670361 0.878770 1.197200 1.697457 2.625682
2024-12-29 0.381701 0.496071 0.659430 0.924785 1.380395 2.220343 4.210417
2025-01-05 0.333374 0.445434 0.612971 0.902235 1.444072 2.581127 5.959809
2025-01-12 0.288649 0.392546 0.552527 0.840198 1.412608 2.734505 7.476536
2025-01-19 0.254149 0.350330 0.501847 0.783175 1.371185 2.845002 9.167117
2025-01-26 0.239570 0.336837 0.495328 0.804268 1.501837 3.506305 15.654979
2025-02-02 0.234404 0.337346 0.511990 0.873434 1.775384 4.921781 41.293582
2025-02-09 0.221955 0.324270 0.502488 0.886502 1.914823 6.085107 106.557593
2025-02-16 0.205342 0.302470 0.474127 0.852447 1.907671 6.604740 226.416857
2025-02-23 0.195989 0.292250 0.466124 0.862779 2.042400 8.185868 2783.294411
2025-03-02 0.186849 0.282401 0.459222 0.878691 2.224111 10.822425 NaN
2025-03-09 0.178364 0.273232 0.453130 0.897491 2.443832 15.139303 NaN
2025-03-16 0.167493 0.258822 0.434791 0.881266 2.524932 18.937704 NaN
2025-03-23 0.162122 0.254064 0.435858 0.918114 2.875251 31.995011 NaN
2025-03-30 0.152446 0.240354 0.416142 0.891766 2.910795 40.278249 NaN
2025-04-06 0.141059 0.222599 0.385925 0.829127 2.723307 39.037101 NaN
2025-04-13 0.131051 0.206916 0.359025 0.772515 2.546915 37.303103 NaN
2025-04-20 0.127360 0.203112 0.357872 0.792876 2.813739 66.665627 NaN
2025-04-27 0.126875 0.205458 0.370714 0.860431 3.459136 287.928058 NaN
2025-05-04 0.123004 0.200782 0.366847 0.873142 3.771316 1249.872704 NaN
2025-05-11 0.116877 0.191181 0.350468 0.839796 3.699702 2289.852688 NaN